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 October 01, 2005 - 06:37 PM | chris
A Look Back

At the start of the baseball season, I picked the order in which every team would finish. Most prediction website never look back at how poorly they did, but I intend to do just that (AL today, NL tomorrow).

AL East
Predicted Finish: NY Yankees, Boston, Baltimore, Tampa Bay, Toronto
Actual Finish: NY Yankees, Boston, Toronto, Baltimore, Tampa
What I said: I don't think Pavano will have a good year, as most newcomers to New York usually don't, but I think Mussina and Johnson have one decent year left in them. Meanwhile the Red Sox have Schilling and a bunch of inconsistent arms.
What actually happened: Pavano was terrible until he got hurt, and Mussina and Johnson both had decent years (although Johnson got stronger as the year went on). The Red Sox starting pitching was horribly inconsistent, allowing the Yankees to barely edge them for the AL East title.

AL Central
Predicted Finish: Chicago White Sox, Minnesota, Cleveland, Detroit, KC
Actual Finish: Chicago White Sox, Cleveland, Minnesota, Detroit, KC
What I said: The Twins are the chic World Series pick, but I don't think they have the pitching. Plus, White Sox ownership has shown that it will at least try to make a deadline deal to help the team while Minnesota still whines about not having any money.
What actually happened: I pretty much nailed this one. The White Sox cruised, then almost collapsed, but the Twins were never a factor and never even tried to get into the race.

AL West
Predicted Finish: Angels, Seattle, Texas, Oakland
Actual Finish: Angels, Oakland, Texas, Seattle
What I said: As much as I abhor their name ("Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim"), the Angels are the only complete team in the West. Seattle has the offense but not the pitching, Texas does as well, and Oakland will flounder while they wait for their next crop of Moneyball stars to mature.
What actually happened: I got the winner right but missed the rest. The Mariners were terrible and Oakland didn't miss the big 3 as much as I thought they would.

And now for more predictions, the NFL picks. Lucas may want to turn to Lisa to pull himself out of the basement:

HOU at CIN: More than any other game, this will really be the test of how far the Bengals will go. They've been able to get up for big games before, but can they get up for a game against a non-opponent? CIN

IND at TEN: Are the Titans rebuilding, or just not very good? It won't matter, as the Colts get yet another cream puff opponent before their NFL-aided march into Foxboro in November. IND

SD at NE: Looks like Lucas' strategy backfired last week. The champs are still the champs, no matter how many guys are injured. NE

BUF at NO: I'm done picking the Saints, even against JP Losman. BUF

STL at NYG: Even when the Rams were still the "Greatest Show on Turf", they always had a problem outdoors in New York. NYG

DET at TB: There's no way the Bucs should be 3-0, but the Lions on the road are a trainwreck waiting to happen. TB

SEA at WAS: There's really no way the Redskins should be 2-0. SEA

DEN at JAX: This is the easiest letdown game in the world to pick. I make this my Lock of the Week. JAX

NYJ at BAL: Can you believe that both of these teams were preseason playoff or Super Bowl favorites? Now one of them is starting Anthony Wright and the other possibly Vinny Testaverde. BAL

DAL at OAK: Whoops, I almost missed this one. It's time for the Raiders to put one on the board. OAK

MIN at ATL: Get a hold of yourselves people, last week's performance was just a mirage. ATL

PHI at KC: The Chiefs get to face another gamebreaking wide receiver, but the Eagles have gotten fairly lucky so far and the Chiefs D really has improved. KC

SF at AZ: I'm sure Lucas will make this his game he doesn't care about, but how could you not watch the always exciting Josh McCown square off in Mexico? Both coaches will be looking to avoid the ice water bath at the end of this game. If it's brown, drink it down. If it's black, send it back. AZ

GB at CAR: Most schizophrenic team in the league, meet the owners of next year's #1 draft pick. CAR