I'm still here, I promise, but "here" is now Columbus, Ohio and I have a desk to assemble, so here is tonight's pick, just under the wire. I promise I'll post in more depth in the very near future.

NO at IND: I'll give Lucas a pass here because he hasn't seen a Super Bowl Champion in awhile, but the way it works for 1 and done champions is they start off fast but teams quickly adjust to take advantage of their weaknesses and come week 4 or 5 they suddenly turn into a mediocre team. IND